Backtest Results

Test ID: EXO-EXO-EXO-
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Job Notes

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Symbols 46

AMC, GME, PLTR, COIN, HOOD, RIOT, RGTI, IONQ, ACHR, SOFI, MARA, LAC, CRON, OKLO, ASTS, QBTS, SMCI, HIMS, OKTA, SPCE, PLUG, QS, NIO, LCID, JOBY, RKLB, MVIS, GSAT, NNDM, BB, AMCX, SOUN, BODI, LPSN, PCH, GDEV, OI, SDRL, HP, KLIC, TX, MSGE, AHT, NVDA, AMD, COKE

Performance Summary

Total Trades

27

Total P&L

$5843.91

Notional: $845032.58
Total Return

0.69%

Weighted by notional
Win Rate

33.3%

9 W / 18 L
CouldWin Rate

77.8%

21 could / 27 total
Avg P&L

$216.44

Avg Return: 0.69%
Best Win

$7298.86

Largest Loss

$-2464.50

Trade Details 27 positions
ID Symbol Side Entry Price Exit Price Qty P&L % (USD) CouldWin Stop Loss Entry Time Exit Time Duration
6043997 AMD Buy $207.11 $203.18 151 -1.9% ($-593.43) False $204.13 06/10/25 14:13 06/10/25 19:55 5.7h
6043879 CRON Buy $3.00 $2.97 10433 -1.17% ($-365.16) True $2.97 29/09/25 14:17 29/09/25 15:56 1.7h
6043880 LAC Buy $5.30 $5.95 5911 12.37% ($3871.71) True $5.13 24/09/25 13:32 24/09/25 20:00 6.5h
6043902 CRON Buy $2.41 $2.42 12987 0.21% ($64.94) True $2.39 11/08/25 15:00 11/08/25 15:01 1m
6043891 CRON Buy $2.43 $2.42 12885 -0.58% ($-181.68) True $2.41 11/08/25 14:56 11/08/25 14:57 1m
6043887 CRON Buy $2.43 $2.43 12881 -0.14% ($-43.80) True $2.41 11/08/25 14:54 11/08/25 14:55 1m
6043998 SOUN Buy $14.18 $14.02 2206 -1.16% ($-362.89) False $14.02 08/08/25 14:53 08/08/25 15:04 11m
6044008 LPSN Buy $1.19 $1.11 26322 -6.64% ($-2079.44) True $1.13 06/08/25 15:00 06/08/25 16:06 1.1h
6044005 LPSN Buy $1.27 $1.17 24645 -7.87% ($-2464.50) True $1.17 06/08/25 13:33 06/08/25 13:49 16m
6044003 LPSN Buy $1.41 $1.31 22179 -7.17% ($-2244.51) False $1.33 06/08/25 13:30 06/08/25 13:31 1m
6043944 LCID Buy $2.92 $3.11 10737 6.69% ($2094.79) True $2.84 17/07/25 14:33 17/07/25 20:00 5.5h
6043920 SPCE Buy $3.81 $3.64 8215 -4.46% ($-1396.55) False $3.65 17/07/25 14:01 17/07/25 17:43 3.7h
6043939 LCID Buy $2.89 $2.89 10833 -0.15% ($-46.58) True $2.81 17/07/25 14:31 17/07/25 14:32 1m
6043937 LCID Buy $2.86 $2.88 10944 0.52% ($164.16) True $2.77 17/07/25 14:29 17/07/25 14:30 1m
6043932 LCID Buy $2.93 $2.91 10682 -0.67% ($-209.37) True $2.85 17/07/25 14:27 17/07/25 14:28 1m
6043930 LCID Buy $2.89 $2.90 10830 0.34% ($107.22) True $2.81 17/07/25 14:25 17/07/25 14:26 1m
6043922 LCID Buy $2.96 $2.92 10574 -1.35% ($-422.96) True $2.83 17/07/25 13:58 17/07/25 14:24 26m
6044021 LPSN Buy $0.95 $0.93 32947 -1.72% ($-537.04) False $0.94 26/06/25 14:52 26/06/25 16:16 1.4h
6043903 QS Buy $5.42 $5.66 5775 4.43% ($1386.58) True $5.31 25/06/25 14:59 25/06/25 20:00 5h
6043900 QS Buy $5.59 $5.46 5599 -2.33% ($-728.43) True $5.46 25/06/25 14:49 25/06/25 14:55 6m
6043896 QS Buy $5.70 $5.58 5496 -2.1% ($-657.32) False $5.58 25/06/25 14:42 25/06/25 14:48 6m
6043890 QS Buy $5.99 $5.73 5225 -4.34% ($-1356.93) True $5.76 25/06/25 13:36 25/06/25 14:19 43m
6043927 JOBY Buy $8.61 $8.83 3637 2.61% ($818.33) True $8.47 28/05/25 14:16 28/05/25 20:00 5.7h
6043954 SPCE Buy $4.10 $5.06 7630 23.32% ($7298.86) True $3.93 16/05/25 13:47 16/05/25 19:31 5.7h
6043945 QBTS Buy $8.95 $10.44 3497 16.65% ($5210.53) True $8.73 08/05/25 14:39 08/05/25 20:00 5.4h
6043943 QBTS Buy $9.26 $9.04 3380 -2.38% ($-743.60) True $9.05 08/05/25 14:31 08/05/25 14:37 6m
6043968 GME Buy $28.37 $27.70 1103 -2.36% ($-739.01) True $27.71 26/03/25 13:50 26/03/25 13:57 7m
Strategy DSL CreativeExit_regime_adaptive_vol_expansion_123126
Job Like 
CONTEXT:
UNIVERSE: SP500
BASE_TZ: America/New_York
CAPITAL: 1_000_000

PARAMS:
sym="{{sym}}", 
fast_ema=10,           // Fast EMA period for momentum
slow_ema=26,           // Slow EMA period for trend direction
vol_pace_threshold=3,// Volume pace must exceed 2.5x avg
atr_period=26,         // ATR period for risk calculation
atr_mult=2.0,          // ATR multiplier for stop loss
risk_frac=0.0313,        // Risk fraction per trade
gap_threshold=1    // Gap threshold of 2% (2 as multiplier)

STRATEGY "AI Strategy - Overnight Gap Momentum-048718 + Mut":
TRIGGER:
  // Check for overnight gap > 1%
  LAST(OPEN(sym, 1d)) / LAST(CLOSE(sym, 1d), 4) > gap_threshold
  AND
  // Higher timeframe trend confirmation (1d EMA alignment)
  EMA(CLOSE(sym, 1d), fast_ema) > EMA(CLOSE(sym, 1d), slow_ema)
  AND
  // Volume pace confirmation (must exceed threshold)
  VOL_PACE(sym, 1d, 10) > vol_pace_threshold
  AND
  // Restrict to first 90 minutes of session (UTC time for US market open 9:30 AM ET)
  TIME_UTC_IN("10:30", "15:00")
ENTRY: MARKET          // Market entry to capture immediate momentum post-gap
EXIT: 
  (ADX(sym,1d,14) > 30 AND LAST(CLOSE(sym,1d)) < (HIGHEST(HIGH(sym,1d),20) - 3.5 * ATR(sym,1d,14))) OR (ADX(sym,1d,14) < 18 AND LAST(CLOSE(sym,1d)) < (HIGHEST(HIGH(sym,1d),8) - 1.8 * ATR(sym,1d,14))) OR (ATR_RATIO(sym,1d,5,21) > 1.8 AND VOL_PERCENTILE(sym,1d,14,50) > 75 AND CROSSUNDER(CLOSE(sym,1d), EMA(CLOSE(sym,1d),13)))
RISK: ATR_STOP(atr_mult) // Risk management using ATR-based stop
SIZING: FIXED_FRACTION(risk_frac) // Fixed fraction sizing for consistent risk